Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.074794 0.086995 0.100470 0.116445 0.134853 0.155392 0.180034
2024-10-27 0.054299 0.069949 0.088967 0.113729 0.145069 0.183369 0.233680
2024-11-03 0.043976 0.061459 0.084377 0.116512 0.160290 0.217722 0.298659
2024-11-10 0.037836 0.056593 0.082784 0.121829 0.178341 0.256915 0.374174
2024-11-17 0.032626 0.051790 0.080062 0.124516 0.192319 0.291432 0.446804
2024-11-24 0.028100 0.047064 0.076463 0.124953 0.202460 0.320924 0.514923
2024-12-01 0.024316 0.042788 0.072755 0.124395 0.210536 0.347640 0.581232
2024-12-08 0.021070 0.038827 0.068882 0.122824 0.216439 0.371122 0.644457
2024-12-15 0.019305 0.037113 0.068446 0.126812 0.231820 0.411324 0.739175
2024-12-22 0.017722 0.035464 0.067848 0.130320 0.246589 0.451776 0.838307
2024-12-29 0.016468 0.034227 0.067785 0.134692 0.263244 0.496980 0.950210
2025-01-05 0.015312 0.033003 0.067556 0.138651 0.279447 0.542806 1.067665
2025-01-12 0.013369 0.029939 0.063445 0.134700 0.280353 0.560969 1.136413
2025-01-19 0.011713 0.027229 0.059692 0.130986 0.281281 0.579272 1.207482
2025-01-26 0.010880 0.026189 0.059238 0.134011 0.296180 0.626311 1.340168
2025-02-02 0.010380 0.025819 0.060156 0.140049 0.318011 0.689378 1.511729
2025-02-09 0.009692 0.024906 0.059752 0.143108 0.333741 0.741362 1.665348
2025-02-16 0.008895 0.023608 0.058304 0.143605 0.343824 0.782347 1.799497
2025-02-23 0.008111 0.022224 0.056472 0.142966 0.351216 0.818156 1.925790
2025-03-02 0.007345 0.020769 0.054276 0.141169 0.355677 0.847841 2.041236
2025-03-09 0.007003 0.020384 0.054660 0.145729 0.375750 0.914716 2.248046
2025-03-16 0.006657 0.019933 0.054820 0.149740 0.394906 0.981260 2.460425
2025-03-23 0.006381 0.019640 0.055344 0.154739 0.417042 1.056853 2.701371